Here are the current 'bottom 10' :

177   Andreas Schillinger (Ger) Team NetApp   1:52:04   
178   Alfredo Balloni (Ita) Farnese Vini - Selle Italia   1:53:43   
179   Jack Bobridge (Aus) Orica GreenEdge Cycling Team   1:58:28   
180   Alex Rasmussen (Den) Garmin - Barracuda   1:58:48   
181   Adrian Saez (Spa) Euskaltel - Euskadi   1:58:50   
182   Andrea Guardini (Ita) Farnese Vini - Selle Italia   2:08:14   
183   Theo Bos (Ned) Rabobank Cycling Team   2:08:27   
184   Taylor Phinney (USA) BMC Racing Team   2:09:59   
185   Jeremy Hunt (GBr) Sky Procycling   2:11:48   
186   Miguel Minguez Ayala (Spa) Euskaltel - Euskadi   2:15:27   

Hunt won't finish, Bos won't finish, Rasmussen won't finish. I don't know the first thing about Minguez but he seems to be well positioned. Taylor Phinney is determined to finish this Giro I think, he might be a good candidate.

Here are the current 'bottom 10' :

177   Andreas Schillinger (Ger) Team NetApp   1:52:04   
178   Alfredo Balloni (Ita) Farnese Vini - Selle Italia   1:53:43   
179   Jack Bobridge (Aus) Orica GreenEdge Cycling Team   1:58:28   
180   Alex Rasmussen (Den) Garmin - Barracuda   1:58:48   
181   Adrian Saez (Spa) Euskaltel - Euskadi   1:58:50   
182   Andrea Guardini (Ita) Farnese Vini - Selle Italia   2:08:14   
183   Theo Bos (Ned) Rabobank Cycling Team   2:08:27   
184   Taylor Phinney (USA) BMC Racing Team   2:09:59   
185   Jeremy Hunt (GBr) Sky Procycling   2:11:48   
186   Miguel Minguez Ayala (Spa) Euskaltel - Euskadi   2:15:27   

Hunt won't finish, Bos won't finish, Rasmussen won't finish. I don't know the first thing about Minguez but he seems to be well positioned. Taylor Phinney is determined to finish this Giro I think, he might be a good candidate.

Except he may be top 10 in the ITT so that must cont against him on the comp, if he makes it to Milan.

Although he maybe 1 hor behind 2nd last by the time people drop out.

I do have a feeling though he will struggle to make a time cut

Saez and Minguez seem to have been either in the break or doing nothing at all, if this trend they maybe a chance although getting in a break on a mountain day might mean they finish well ahead of the grupetto and rule themselves out.

I am thinking Guardini and Bos will not make it to Milan even if they try, the will miss time cut.

Not sure how Phinney's ankle is, if it is still a bit suspect climbing lots may put it under more strain than it really can stand. However having got this far I think it should be okay.

I think some of the Netapp riders will not make Milan, the German riders especially might struggle so Schillinger might not be there.

Phinney ftw or lose! ;D