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Leadbelly

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Re: Betting Thread
« Reply #240 on: March 11, 2014, 19:56 »
More, more, more!  :-x

Coquard 101ew for stage 4 just in case that some of the sprinters who can climb a little bit get back on, unlikely as it may seem.
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  • Arb

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #241 on: March 11, 2014, 20:50 »
    Yeh the OGE team is ridiculous, I'll take three fiddy...

    Hmm might wait a sec, looks like Pinny is about to go up.
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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #242 on: March 11, 2014, 20:55 »
    yeh, best team overall, just one problem...can they manage to carry Santa to the finish?
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    Arb

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #243 on: March 12, 2014, 07:02 »
    Weird TTT for me, only found a couple I like and am going contrary to some of my golden rules that usually serve me well.
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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #244 on: March 12, 2014, 07:59 »
    yeh, it's a bit unusual, but this time I am more tempted by some of the smaller odds, regarding the matchbets

    Sent from my Lumia 900 using Tapatalk
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  • Leadbelly

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #245 on: March 13, 2014, 09:27 »
    Ah well the Ogres got schooled.  :(

    PN Stage 5

    Micro bet on GVA 151ew with PP
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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #246 on: March 13, 2014, 10:27 »
    yeh, looking at the descent it's not too unlikely it will be a selected group again, Chavenel, Nibali, Betancur...
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  • Leadbelly

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #247 on: March 13, 2014, 21:03 »
    In the mix, but no more.

    PN Stage 6

    Matthews 126ew

    No Gerrans anymore. Was right up there on the climb the day Slagter won.

    Post Merge: March 13, 2014, 21:54
    TA Stage 3

    Appollonio 126ew

    Not sure what to make of tomorrow's finish apart from that it could get messy. Lots of different types could be involved.

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  • « Last Edit: March 13, 2014, 21:54 by Leadbelly, Reason: Merged DoublePost »

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #248 on: March 13, 2014, 21:56 »
    I was hoping for decent odds on Bennett, but doesn't look like that will be the case

    maybe Keldermerckx Top 3 for PN
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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #249 on: March 14, 2014, 08:06 »
    I was hoping for decent odds on Bennett, but doesn't look like that will be the case

    maybe Keldermerckx Top 3 for PN

    managed to get Bennett Top 3 @5 and Kelderman Top 3 @6, both with betfair, not too shabby I think

    kelderman is available at unibet for the same odds as well, haven't seen bennett anywhere else
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  • Havetts

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #250 on: March 14, 2014, 16:09 »
    Damn, that flat tire really screwed over your bet. :(
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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #251 on: March 14, 2014, 16:56 »
    yeh, he was looking good. Bennett nowhere to be seen though
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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #252 on: March 14, 2014, 20:33 »
    haha, add that, who do you think my money was on?  :cheesy

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  • LukasCPH

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #253 on: March 14, 2014, 21:15 »
    No. 4 I suppose. :D
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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #254 on: March 14, 2014, 21:17 »
    exactly...
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  • LukasCPH

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #255 on: March 14, 2014, 21:19 »
    sh*t. :fp

    See, that's why I don't start betting. I'd get too frustrated.
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  • Leadbelly

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #256 on: March 15, 2014, 21:50 »
    TA Stage 5

    Geschke v Battaglin 2.0 with Bet365
    Nocentini 101ew with PP (201 at BV!)

    Now that PP have wised up, I think a BetVictor account may be on the cards at some point. They have their markets up early, lots of riders and seem to have some generous pricing - Lopez available at 201 for tomorrow's stage at PN for example (and the Noce price for TA).

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  • Arb

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #257 on: March 16, 2014, 08:07 »
    I'm backing in the chances of Lanciano chaos...

    The 4 to 1 on Kreuziger to beat Moreno, Arredondo > Ulissi.

    Porte @ 23 EW is more than generous too.
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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #258 on: March 16, 2014, 14:54 »
    gazzzing
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  • Leadbelly

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #259 on: March 16, 2014, 20:11 »
    How the mighty have fallen - Cav's at 1.72 to beat Pelucchi tomorrow.  :S
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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #260 on: March 16, 2014, 23:00 »
    lol at Contador, down to 3-1 after about 24 hours. For my birthday in August last year one of the sites gave me a £5 free bet. Put all that on Contador 13-1 at the Tour, + I think i may have put 2 or 3 more when he went to 17-1.

    Don't think he'll win though. May need to trade.
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    Arb

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #261 on: March 17, 2014, 03:47 »
    I have a bit more than that. If Froome isn't dominant in Catalunya he may drift to evens. Will think about it then.
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  • Leadbelly

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #262 on: March 17, 2014, 21:08 »
    TT at TA

    With so many big names there's lots of tempting big odds about.

    Sagan 101
    Wagner 101
    Peraud 151

    All for the top 3 with Bet365.

    Ludvigsson v Stannard 2.37

    Post Merge: March 18, 2014, 09:01
    I feel kinda dirty, but..

    Wiggins v Hepburn 2.75

    Did okay at the technical prologue at Andalucia and the two big straights here should suit him better.
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  • « Last Edit: March 18, 2014, 09:01 by Leadbelly, Reason: Merged DoublePost »

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #263 on: March 18, 2014, 09:27 »
    yep, took that one as well, as far as I can see he never was outside Top 7 or so in a flat timetrial since the worlds 2009. And it's Hepburn's first proper wt race with climbs and so on, I wouldn't be surprised to see him suffering + two greenedge guys out yesterday already with some kind of virus

    unfortunately Dumoulin tb Bertie dropped already, but just regarding the pure qualities Dumoulin must be favorite for this, came 11th last year after being in the (partly lone) breakaway on the uber hard stage the day before - while Contador propably would be happy with 11th today

    Amador tb Castroviejo @2,5 is too big as well, Amador came 3rd last year, 4 seconds ahead of Castroviejo, can't see what has changed, this course still suits him better
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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #264 on: March 18, 2014, 16:10 »
    finally :betting


    Stannard DNS btw
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  • Leadbelly

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #265 on: March 18, 2014, 19:14 »
    Nice one search. Rather tiresome about Stannard, but Wiggins brought home the bacon.

    Gonna add Kiserlovski to my Giro GC bets after all. 401ew with PP. Nice TT today and let's face it not many of the Giro riders at TA were looking like world beaters - Evans was awful, Horner's knee is acting up and even Uran was off the boil big style.
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  • just some guy

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #266 on: March 18, 2014, 19:38 »
    Modolo and Bling for MSR got be some money there ?

    sorry just a bit bored  :lol
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  • Of course, if this turns out someday to be the industry standard integrated handlebar-computer-braking solution then I'll eat my kevlar-reinforced aerodynamic hat.

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #267 on: March 18, 2014, 19:45 »
    mmh, not sure Bling can handle the distance, I think guys like Kristoff or Demare are more temting at about equal odds, or even higher. Modolo, yeh, maybe
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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #268 on: March 20, 2014, 10:33 »
    Bling @ 401 :D

    and Kwia @ 81 is now in play but even 51 looks ok.
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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #269 on: March 20, 2014, 11:09 »
    gut feeling says barbie will win
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