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Leadbelly

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Re: Betting Thread
« Reply #930 on: May 01, 2018, 22:50 »
I never bet that much and hence why I tend to stick to the big prices. These H2Hs are just for interest really.
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  • Flo

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #931 on: May 02, 2018, 14:05 »
    Froome top3 stage 1 @ 5.50
    What a rip-off, barely a 10th of the odds for 1st. They must have read about my intentions :P
    Still put a euro on for the jinx :lol
    And 1€ on Dumoulin for stage 1 @ 5.00

    That is it for now, 4€ staked let's see where this ends up :P
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  • RIP Keith
    RIP krebs

    Arb

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #932 on: May 03, 2018, 11:51 »
    Hmm this ITT is actually really interesting, a bit nippy you might say. Can't go past the Astana lads but don't mind Jempy either.

    LLS @ 301 (win only 365)
    Lutsenko @ 276 EW (Paddy)

    As for the overall... well lets see tomorrow, I'm still waiting for redemption on Giro GC after Delfino 2010 and Ivan 2012...
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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #933 on: May 03, 2018, 12:16 »
    Jempy said he will go for it. Can't really see him finish that high up though, tbh



    From the Aquablue sponsorship article...

    Quote
    On the road, Eddie Dunbar's performances in the Classics have boosted morale ahead of the Tour of Yorkshire, which starts tomorrow.

    "I honestly wouldn't be surprised if we won it, Eddie is just in sensational form," says the team owner.

    sounds alright for @41
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  • "If this is cycling, I am a banana"

    search

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #934 on: May 04, 2018, 07:53 »
    I almost forgot about this...

    Spoiler (hover to show)

    and apparently that time was real! His visor cracked after the split, he couldn't see anything anymore and then slowed down after almost crashing into a hedge. Worth a shot for this prologue as well then, I guess...
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  • Flo

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #935 on: May 04, 2018, 19:27 »
    Froome top3 stage 1 @ 5.50
    What a rip-off, barely a 10th of the odds for 1st. They must have read about my intentions :P
    Still put a euro on for the jinx :lol
    :o :-x

    Quote
    And 1€ on Dumoulin for stage 1 @ 5.00

    :party


    And after Froome's recon crash backed Pinot for GC @ 8.00
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  • Leadbelly

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #936 on: May 11, 2018, 10:33 »
    Giro Stage 7

    Bennett v Dumoulin 3.25

    A distinctly non-technical finish today might mean Dumoulin is slightly less insistent on being right towards the front (though crashes do often occur on these long straight finishes).
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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #937 on: May 11, 2018, 11:37 »
    sounds good, yeah, especially with the new 3s rule in use

    I'll take Dempster to beat Würzt at 2.2 or so. Sbaragli crashed the other day, and he hasn't had a good sprint for a year anyway. Time for Dempster (and Boivin?) to step up and give it a go.
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  • Leadbelly

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #938 on: May 11, 2018, 19:44 »
    Reasoning was a bit off as the finish was very fast and quite chaotic, but a wins a win (even if it was by just 1 place!).

    Giro Stage 8

    Carapaz 151ew
    O'Connor 151ew

    If a break doesn't take it, these two should be part of medium sized group that will contest the finish. Could sneak away with a late attack if the bigger names are watching each other.

    Sbaragli crashed the other day, and he hasn't had a good sprint for a year anyway.

    Make that a year and a day.
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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #939 on: May 11, 2018, 21:05 »
    Make that a year and a day.

    ...and two time lucky, 95th from Dempster wasn't quite what I was thinking about. But anyway...
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  • Carlo Algatrensig

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #940 on: May 12, 2018, 18:09 »
    Giro Stage 8

    Carapaz 151ew

    Very well picked.
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  • Leadbelly

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #941 on: May 12, 2018, 18:21 »
    The Milky Bars are on me! :D
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  • Carlo Algatrensig

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #942 on: May 12, 2018, 18:26 »
    Is that the biggest priced single bet you've ever had come in?
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  • Leadbelly

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #943 on: May 12, 2018, 18:52 »
    Nah. A few years back now I had golden couple of weeks which was topped off with Wellens winning his first Eneco at 401ew. It wasn't even on PP.
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  • Carlo Algatrensig

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #944 on: May 12, 2018, 19:07 »
    Nah. A few years back now I had golden couple of weeks which was topped off with Wellens winning his first Eneco at 401ew. It wasn't even on PP.

    My guess is they shut or restricted your account quite swiftly after that.
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  • Carlo Algatrensig

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #945 on: May 16, 2018, 00:29 »
    Giro Stage 11

    Yates 8/1 with Ladbrokes
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  • Leadbelly

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #946 on: May 20, 2018, 09:48 »
    Nice one Carlo.

    Giro Stage 15

    O'Connor v Betancur 2.75
    Pinot v Yates 2.5
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  • Leadbelly

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #947 on: May 20, 2018, 20:16 »
    Giro Stage 16

    Bennett v MAL 2.25
    Pozzovivo v Yates 3.25
    Cavagna v Dowsett 4.33

    Couldn't resist the big prices on the second two.
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  • Carlo Algatrensig

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #948 on: May 20, 2018, 20:31 »
    Nice one Carlo.

    Giro Stage 15

    O'Connor v Betancur 2.75
    Pinot v Yates 2.5

    First win on a cycling bet for ages but at 8/1 it seemed a reasonable gamble given the form he'd shown so far for a finish like that.

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  • Arb

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #949 on: May 26, 2018, 06:35 »
    Here I was thinking I'd be clever and get on Nieve but turns out he's favourite. Will have to take Kreuziger instead.

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #950 on: May 26, 2018, 07:00 »
    ohh, but Kilian Frankiny said he wants to win today! :P
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  • Arb

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #951 on: May 26, 2018, 07:21 »
    I'm sure he'd like to win Milano-Torino too

    (in fairness haven't looked through the book yet)
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  • Arb

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #952 on: May 26, 2018, 08:53 »
    Capecchi @ 1000 (Betfair win only) to not just get his first top 10 in four years, but crush the monster breakaway he finds himself in.
    Felix @ 301 & Lutsenko @ 251 (Bet365)

    Also what has the world come to with Jack Haig @ 15s.
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  • Carlo Algatrensig

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #953 on: June 02, 2018, 15:00 »
    It's Derby day and in the spirit of Leadbelly's bets on the Grand National I'll be having £1 e/w on Zabriskie.
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  • Leadbelly

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #954 on: June 05, 2018, 20:18 »
    Dauphine TTT

    BMC v Sky 4.0

    Okay it's a very strong Sky TTT squad on paper, but even without their a-team here I think BMC can give them a run for their (well it's mine really) money. If we discount the Hammer TTT when BMC had multi mechs one after another, Sky haven't won a TTT head to head between the two of them since the 2016 Vuelta (I think).

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  • Leadbelly

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #955 on: June 07, 2018, 19:20 »
    Tour de Suisse GC

    Costa 151ew
    Wellens 151ew

    Rui Costa a three time winner here.

    TdS Stage 1

    Quickstep 81

    Do I think they'll win? No, but 81 is still to big.
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  • Leadbelly

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #956 on: June 13, 2018, 11:04 »
    World Cup

    Same deal as four years ago with a multi on all of a country's group games being overs.

    Uruguay 9.5
    Morocco 13.25
    Australia 8.32
    Nigeria 9.18
    Costa Rica 10.14
    South Korea 8.51
    England 7.38
    Poland 10.27
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  • Carlo Algatrensig

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #957 on: June 14, 2018, 21:31 »
    my probably last 2 bets for the T de F GC to go along with my Zakarin bet from a while ago

    Kelderman 150/1 e/w 1/4 odds 1,2,3

    and

    Kruijswijk 150/1 e/w 1/4 odds 1,2,3

    Both with Boylesport.
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  • Leadbelly

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #958 on: June 28, 2018, 19:07 »
    TdF KoM

    Molard 301ew
    Bouet 501ew

    Thanks to search's post on the jersey contenders we know the KoM this year is weighted towards non-GC guys in breaks.

    Molard has said he'll go for it on the punchy finishes (Quimper, Mur de Bretagne and Mende) and then try for the breakaways in the second half of the tour ie. the half with all the serious KoM points.

    Bouet's team mate might be interested in the jersey again, but has shown no form this year, so I'll stick with the in-form Max.
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  • Carlo Algatrensig

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #959 on: July 15, 2018, 11:29 »
    TdeF Stage 9

    Degenkolb @ 25/1
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