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Arb

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Re: Betting Thread
« Reply #990 on: January 11, 2019, 07:00 »
Time to donate it back...

TDU Overall
Prades @ 101 (Paddy)

365
McCarthy @ 19
Ulissi @ 23
Butcher @ 34

Think the Corkscrew stage actually gives these types an opportunity to take more bonus seconds on LRP
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  • Leadbelly

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #991 on: January 11, 2019, 15:39 »
    People's Choice Classic

    Walscheid v Viviani 3.5 with Bet365

    First "race" of the season and all that.
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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #992 on: January 12, 2019, 19:14 »
    and Sajnok to beat Kanter @2.5



    Seeing that picture, I find it hard to believe that little Max' task tomorrow will be to do the final leadout for Walscheid. And usually Sunweb isn't to keen on giving youngsters a free role early either.
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  • "If this is cycling, I am a banana"

    Joelsim

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #993 on: January 12, 2019, 19:23 »
    and Sajnok to beat Kanter @2.5



    Seeing that picture, I find it hard to believe that little Max' task tomorrow will be to do the final leadout for Walscheid. And usually Sunweb isn't to keen on giving youngsters a free role early either.

    Min Kanter.

    Given they'll both be on lead-out duty...
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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #994 on: January 12, 2019, 19:27 »
    Given they'll both be on lead-out duty...

    sure, but if Kanter is only second to last in the line, he should finish 50+ anyway.
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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #995 on: January 13, 2019, 07:54 »
    looks like both bets were decided by Morkov in the end. :yum

    Took down Viviani and Sajnok in the final corner, while the Sunweb bus was so far in the back that they could avoid the crash.
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  • Leadbelly

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #996 on: January 13, 2019, 18:57 »
    TDU Stage 1

    Viviani v Ewan 2.1
    Ulissi v Woods 2.2
    Sajnok v Kanter 2.62

    All with Bet365 (who also have MSR, RVV and PR markets out).

    I'll steal the reasoning for the final bet. :shh
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  • Archieboy

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #997 on: January 13, 2019, 20:28 »


    All with Bet365 (who also have MSR, RVV and PR markets out).



    RVV now a Monday race with 365, someone is fooling about.
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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #998 on: January 14, 2019, 22:44 »
    I'll steal the reasoning for the final bet. :shh

    with a couple of k to go it looked like my reasoning wasn't too far off at least...



    let's see how it goes tomorrow.
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  • Arb

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #999 on: January 15, 2019, 00:29 »
    eh last minute Haller @ 101, he won a bay crit a couple of weeks ago I think... conditions may hurt people.
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  • Arb

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #1000 on: January 15, 2019, 09:37 »
    Not really sure what Katusha were doing, very well organised in their disorganisation, it wasn't Haller they were working for anyway from what I could tell.

    Also LB you sucked me in...

    PR - Jempy @ 301

    Shame I can't multi it with Ronde @ 401 for the double.
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  • Leadbelly

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #1001 on: January 16, 2019, 20:25 »
    TDU Stage 3

    Sutterlin 251ew with Bet365
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  • Arb

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #1002 on: January 17, 2019, 00:12 »
    Sunderland @ 401
    Porte @ 126
    Prades @ 67

    Bevin over Sagan @ 2.37 (this is basically just a lay on Sagan, I don't think he has much in the way of form)

    Could really just take your pick out of Impey, Ulissi, Haas etc for this one. I think unlike Stirling though this will be less about positioning and timing and more about following genuine attacks on the last circuit.
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  • Arb

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #1003 on: January 17, 2019, 04:52 »
    Rekt, I have a bad habit of forgetting TDU stages are raced for 5km max.
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  • Leadbelly

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #1004 on: January 17, 2019, 20:03 »
    TDU Stage 5

    O'Connor v Porte 2.75
    Poels v Woods 2.62

    Both with Bet365.
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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #1005 on: January 18, 2019, 23:22 »
    TDU #5: Philipsen to beat van Poppel @2,4

    if the #jumbo Jumbo train (as usual) hits the front early again, Danny can easily be doomed getting into the headwind first. And his flat sprints aren't really anything special anyway.
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  • Arb

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #1006 on: January 19, 2019, 06:57 »
    20km too early, good get.
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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #1007 on: January 19, 2019, 07:19 »
    yeah, looks like they didn't get the memo. The final 2k of action are stressful enough for Phil and Jens to commentate on.
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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #1008 on: January 26, 2019, 16:48 »
    CEGORR, Top 3 Luke Rowe @51 with Unibet

    There's not a particularly big margin for a (non cobbled) race to be hard enough - but not too hard - for Rowe to compete for a podium spot, but these odds seem to be a bit long for someone who finished 4th and 5th already.
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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #1009 on: January 27, 2019, 20:08 »
    CEGORR, Top 3 Luke Rowe @51 with Unibet

    There's not a particularly big margin for a (non cobbled) race to be hard enough - but not too hard - for Rowe to compete for a podium spot, but these odds seem to be a bit long for someone who finished 4th and 5th already.

    well, but it ended up in another addition to his collection of "not quite" finishes...  :zzz1
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  • Leadbelly

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #1010 on: February 24, 2019, 20:56 »
    Omloop

    I could easily have 10+ bets

    Teunissen 101ew
    Laporte 151ew
    Doull 301ew
    Gaudin 501ew

    It's only after making the bets that I see that Laporte was ill at Algarve. Doh!
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  • Leadbelly

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #1011 on: March 02, 2019, 23:23 »
    Operation 501+

    KBK

    Langeveld 501ew
    Raim 601ew

    There is one obvious team without a sprinter tomorrow and that is Deceuninck. No point in them dragging Groenewegen, Ackermann et al to the line. The profile of the final 50km isn't too conducive for reducing the peloton down, but some strong winds are forecast. Other teams like AG2R (or individuals like Terpstra, Roelandts etc) could be interested as well in doing some damage, so that's why I'm not ruling out a non-sprinter like Langeveld.
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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #1012 on: March 03, 2019, 09:37 »
    Ackermann crashed pretty hard yesterday and was uncertain to start today, so that may even be one team less to do the work in the peloton.

    Drucker @51 is not a bad choice I think. Hard to drop, and there aren't that many who can beat him in a sprint. Van Asbroeck @201 looks ok'ish as well.
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  • Leadbelly

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #1013 on: March 08, 2019, 18:31 »
    SB

    Felline v Thomas 2.2
    Oomen v Pogacar 2.2
    Visconti v Van Aert 3.0

    Thomas has been playing down his chances.
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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #1014 on: March 08, 2019, 22:29 »
    Felline missed the opening weekend for being sick though, and only came in here as a late replacement for Brambilla. I'd keep the fingers of that one, but I also like the other two.
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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #1015 on: March 09, 2019, 19:18 »
    1/3 from those bets.

    PN Stage 1

    Mezgec 251ew

    Just in case they decide to go with him ahead of Trentin. Of course the wind could blow it all to pieces.
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  • Leadbelly

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #1016 on: March 12, 2019, 20:21 »
    PN Stage 4

    El Fares 201
    De La Parte 201
    Muller 201

    I smell a win for the break.
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  • Leadbelly

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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #1017 on: March 14, 2019, 21:03 »
    PN Stage 6

    Hivert 251ew

    Won a stage last year of course.
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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #1018 on: March 14, 2019, 21:53 »
    on Laporte's home stage?! :o
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    Re: Betting Thread
    « Reply #1019 on: March 15, 2019, 19:38 »
    Ah well neither ended up figuring.

    TA Stage 4

    Skujins 201ew
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