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Armchair Cyclist

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  • Awards: 2018 Tour de France CQ game winnerGiro Prediction Champ 2017
Re: 2018 Vuelta CQ Game
« on: August 29, 2018, 22:34 »
Stage 5 Breakaway wins, and an unexpected red jersey

Green points
Another set of breakaway riders that we largely overlooked.

CLARKE Simon   70   0
MOLLEMA Bauke   40   0
DE MARCHI Alessandro   25   2
MOLARD Rudy   25   0
VILLELLA Davide   15   0
DE TIER Floris   10   1
MONFORT Maxime   5   3
LASTRA MARTINEZ Jonathan   3   0
PELLIZOTTI Franco   2   1
KUDUS Merhawi Gebremedhin   1   0

1   GPBlanco, Koronin   25
3   Vladimir   10
4   Axl, BicycleBoy, LightBing   5
7   Los Brolin   2
That's all!

Standings
Koronin now has a stage win and a third, and top place here.
1   Koronin   102
2   Yellow_Knight   98
3   GPBlanco   68
3   Mellow_Velo   68
3   MidnightFright   68
6   Gotland   61
7   TotalPackage   58
8   Scrool07   57
9   Bminchow   54
9   Shalgo   54

Red points
I said yesterday that something would happen, but didn't expect that.
If Molard is to gain lots of prospective GC points (he is +477 on the day, had anyone picked him), others must lose them, and the points distribution is such that the higher the rider is on GC, the more points he loses by being overtaken by Molard (or anyone else).  So:
DE MARCHI Alessandro   35   2   teams
DE TIER Floris   27   1   team
...
DUPONT Hubert   -12   2
MAS NICOLAU Enric   -15   10
QUINTANA ROJAS Nairo Alexander   -15   17
IZAGIRRE INSAUSTI Ion   -25   1
VALVERDE BELMONTE Alejandro   -26   1
KELDERMAN Wilco   -29   3
YATES Simon   -50   3
BUCHMANN Emanuel   -60   10

On that principle, those who have lost more points are those who have high scoring riders: the first shall be last and all that. (I like Maths challenges: Spearman's R for today's net changes against this mornings standings is -0.896)

1   LightBing   -7
2   GPBlanco   -8
3   Koronin   -12
3   Vladimir   -12
5   MidnightFright   -21
6   NorthAmericanScum   -23
7   Search   -25
8   Leadbelly   -26
9   Paniou   -28
10   Crevaison   -29
10   TotalPackage   -29
12   Armchair_Cyclist   -32
13   Del1962   -33
14   BluesInTheBottle   -36
14   Scrool07   -36
14   Shalgo   -36
17   Bminchow   -42
18   BikeRacer33   -45
19   Gotland   -48
20   Salvarani   -51
21   BicycleBoy   -54
21   Minessa   -54
23   Mellow_Velo   -59
24   SemirS   -60
24   Squire   -60
26   Yellow_Knight   -75
27   AmisVelo   -85
28   Akuryo   -88
29   Carlo_Algatrensig   -89
29   Laarsland   -89
31   Rote_Laterne   -92
32   Josedin   -99
33   LosBrolin   -103
34   Axl   -104
35   Hakkie2   -106
36   Nathanptz   -110
   Collective_Wisdom   -40


Standings

Compaction of the table rather than much positional change today: Koronin's jump of 4 places is simultaneously the highest placed change, the only entry into the top ten, and the biggest rise.

1   Axl   838
2   Hakkie2   832
3   LosBrolin   814
4   Josedin   766
5   Nathanptz   752
6   Rote_Laterne   724
7   Laarsland   707
8   Akuryo   663
9   Yellow_Knight   657
10   Koronin   639
11   Mellow_Velo   624
12   AmisVelo   613
13   Carlo_Algatrensig   608
14   Minessa   603
15   Gotland   575
16   Salvarani   572
17   Squire   560
18   Bminchow   553
19   BikeRacer33   552
20   GPBlanco   541
21   BicycleBoy   514
22   Scrool07   504
23   SemirS   500
24   Shalgo   476
25   BluesInTheBottle   440
26   Del1962   429
27   Paniou   422
28   Leadbelly   407
29   Vladimir   403
30   Armchair_Cyclist   401
31   Search   394
32   TotalPackage   366
33   Crevaison   358
34   MidnightFright   355
35   NorthAmericanScum   351
36   LightBing   278
   Collective_Wisdom   528

Tomorrow should see a day of green points only.
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