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Armchair Cyclist

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Re: 2019 TdF CQ Game
« on: July 07, 2019, 21:07 »
Stage 2 Team Time Trial

(I had to re-jig the spreadsheet: suddenly realised why I had columns for the early stages before the totals columns, which I had previously "corrected", thinking it was a rationalisation.)

Stage points today were relatively unimportant, no rider got more than 20 of them (although Teunissen gets another 20 for the yellow jersey).  Far more significant were the changes in projected position: Van Aert was 16th yesterday, with 94 points projected for that position, now he is 2nd, and if he stays there, will have 450 GC placing points.  So he is the biggest improvement of the day.
However, none of us expect Van Aert to hang on to that podium spot, so he will at some time get negative points: that has already happened for some, most obviously Peter Sagan.  He has dropped from 2nd to 48th, so his projected GC points are now 23, not 450.

I won't list every rider's point fluctuations every day: I'll choose a cut off depending on how dramatic the stage has been, and I will only show those who have been selected by at least one of our managers.

VAN AERT Wout   382   for Archieboy
KRUIJSWIJK Steven   380   for 5 teams
MARTIN Tony   320   for Otoxiep87
BERNAL GOMEZ Egan Arley   222   28 teams
THOMAS Geraint   192   for Ripley
MAS NICOLAU Enric   108   8
ZABEL Rick   70   7
KELDERMAN Wilco   65   3
KÄMNA Lennard   60   9
ZAKARIN Ilnur   53   1
...
PASQUALON Andrea   -100   1
MATTHEWS Michael   -157   1
TRENTIN Matteo   -208   1
COLBRELLI Sonny   -260   2
EWAN Caleb   -360   16
SAGAN Peter   -427   2


Daily Scores
Anyone who had a decent day yesterday courtesy of Ewan or Sagan saw most of those points evaporate today, even if many of us had that mitigated somewhat by the rise of a member of one of the higher placed teams (most commonly Bernal).  That still left a lot of us in negative territory.

Very close for the honours on the day:

1   Laarsland   626 (Kruijswijk, Bernal and Zabel, but Debusschere and Garcia lost points) (80 Green points)
2   Search   624 (Kruijswijk, Bernal and Geschke) (50)
3   ArchieBoy   620 (Van Aert, Bernal and Van Garderen, but Boasson Hagen) (35)
4   Carlo_Algatrensig   434  (25)
5   Ripley   410 (15)
6   Tobydawq   386 (10)
7   Josedin   384 (5)
8   Vladimir   378 (3)
9   Mellow_Velo   362 (2)
10   Fauniera   340 (1)
11   Otoxiep87   290
12   Leadbelly   277
13   BluesInTheBottle   266
14   Del1962   261
14   JustSomeGuy   261
14   Salvarani   261
17   Triley36   240
18   Bminchow   218
19   Squire   207
20   Yellow_Knight   138
21   BlackBandit222   104
22   TotalPackage   90
23   Scrool07   20
24   Armchair_Cyclist   -21
25   Comodoro   -25
26   LosBrolin   -39
26   Rote_Laterne   -39
28   Shalgo   -103
29   DJSprtsch   -126
30   BicycleBoy   -135
30   Googolplex   -135
32   AmisVelo   -138
33   RattaKuningas   -240
34   Kazistuta   -252
35   Tigerion   -310
36   BikeRacer33   -316
37   LightBing   -486
38   Koronin   -506
   Collective_Wisdom   -99
 
Green points
You'll have noticed that the top ten each day have a bracketed number, these are their points towards our minor classification, the green points jersey.  These get totalled every day.  No-one who scored yesterday in this was in today's top ten (the Sagan/Colbrelli/Ewan correction factor), so when the scores for the two days are totalled, we have a lot of drawn placings.

1   Laarsland   80
2   Koronin, RattaKuningas   65
4   Search   50
5   ArchieBoy, LightBing   35
7   Carlo_Algatrensig, Googolplex   25
9   BicycleBoy, Ripley   15
11   DJSprtsch, Tobydawq   10
13   Josedin, Tigerion   5
15   Armchair_Cyclist, Vladimir   3
17   Mellow_Velo, TotalPackage   2
19   BikeRacer33, Fauniera   1
The rest have yet to score.

Standings
At least no-one's score is totally dependent on 20 per rider for being outside the top 50 any more.  Don't expect these to be much more of a prediction of the final outcome than the current GC rankings are.
There again, Archie won the Giro game, and there he is again, on the back of a 20 place jump.  Even that is outdone by Carlo and Search (24 and 28 places respectively)
1   ArchieBoy   873
2   Otoxiep87   850
3   Laarsland   842
4   Search   784
5   TotalPackage   660
6   Josedin   654
7   RattaKuningas   640
8   Carlo_Algatrensig   594
9   Scrool07   580
10   Ripley   574
11   Googolplex   565
12   BicycleBoy   555
13   Armchair_Cyclist   553
14   Tobydawq   550
15   Vladimir   538
16   Comodoro   535
17   Mellow_Velo   532
18   LosBrolin   521
18   Rote_Laterne   521
20   Fauniera   500
21   BlackBandit222   494
22   DJSprtsch   472
23   Shalgo   461
24   Triley36   447
25   Leadbelly   442
26   JustSomeGuy   432
27   BluesInTheBottle   431
28   AmisVelo   422
29   Del1962   421
29   Salvarani   421
31   Bminchow   382
32   Koronin   374
33   Squire   367
34   LightBing   360
35   Kazistuta   308
36   Yellow_Knight   307
37   Tigerion   280
38   BikeRacer33   253
   Collective_Wisdom   461

I am out tomorrow evening: the update will be late.

PS  I see there has been a late adjustment on the results, with Sunweb now being given 4th and Katusha 5th.  It only makes a difference of 3 pts give or take for 9 riders, three of whom aren't selected and none of whom are very popular.  I will hope that any differences it would have made to the Daily points would not be relevant to the final Green Jersey classification, rather than re-calculate everything.  Similarly, I note that Julien Simon was 16th in the results table I used for the stage one calculations, but now he is shown as 29th in yesterday's results: that correction was incorporated in his drop of points today.  These things will hopefully all be resolved by Paris.
  • ReplyReply
  • « Last Edit: July 07, 2019, 21:57 by Armchair Cyclist »

     

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