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Armchair Cyclist

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Re: 2019 TdF CQ Game
« Reply #30 on: July 23, 2019, 00:40 »
Rest Day 2  15 stages done, 6 to go.

Guaranteed points

Alaphilippe's huge total includes 22 for 11 days in yellow.  Only one popular rider has chalked up many guaranteed points, but here are the top 20.  Those who have Ewan as well as one of the others are highlighted.

ALAPHILIPPE Julian   484pts   0 team
SAGAN Peter   260   Bicycle Boy and Googolplex
EWAN Caleb   235   16 teams
PINOT Thibaut   201   0
VIVIANI Elia   185   0
YATES Simon   160   0

VAN AERT Wout   152   1 Archieboy
TEUNISSEN Mike   150   0

GROENEWEGEN Dylan   145    Total Package*
MATTHEWS Michael   125   LightBing*
DE GENDT Thomas   115    Koronin*
THOMAS Geraint   96   1 Ripley
CICCONE Giulio   90   0

COLBRELLI Sonny   85   Koronin* and RattaKunungas*
IMPEY Daryl   80   0
TEUNS Dylan   80   0
BENOOT Tiesj   75   0

TRENTIN Matteo   73   BlackBandit222
KRUIJSWIJK Steven   68   Search, Laarsland, Total Package*, Scrool07*, Ratta Kuningas*

Nothing is certain until it is certain, so for those who don't like to count their GC chickens before they have hatched, the guaranteed points are:
1   TotalPackage   471
2   Koronin   448
3   RattaKuningas   409
4   LightBing   390
5   LosBrolin   343
6   Otoxiep87   340
7   BicycleBoy   336
7   DJSprtsch   336
9   Armchair_Cyclist   330
9   Rote_Laterne   330
11   Scrool07   329
12   Shalgo   327
13   Googolplex   325
14   Comodoro   319
15   AmisVelo   300
15   Tigerion   300
17   Kazistuta   281
18   BikeRacer33   237
19   ArchieBoy   203
20   Search   162
21   Ripley   159
22   Laarsland   151
23   Mellow_Velo   141
24   BlackBandit222   138
24   Fauniera   138
26   Josedin   128
27   Salvarani   125
28   Bminchow   115
29   Triley36   112
30   Carlo_Algatrensig   107
30   JustSomeGuy   107
32   Yellow_Knight   104
33   Del1962   97
34   Tobydawq   89
35   Leadbelly   79
35   Squire   79
37   Vladimir   74
38   BluesInTheBottle   68
   Collective_Wisdom   330

Alaphilippe single handedly defeats any combination of 8 men that we have put together.


If I turned the daily guaranteed points into  a stage type ranking (80, 50, 35 down to 1 for 10th), we would have:
1   LightBing   368.56
2   TotalPackage   292.87
3   Koronin   267.89
4   Googolplex   205.43
5   RattaKuningas   203.56
6   BicycleBoy   185.03
7   Ripley   172.91
8   ArchieBoy   165.49
9   Laarsland   122.27
10   DJSprtsch   120.12
11   Otoxiep87   117.43
12   Search   105.87
13   Bminchow   97.06
14   JustSomeGuy   82.09
15   BlackBandit222   67
16   Scrool07   59.46
17   Squire   59.13
18   Kazistuta   53.19
19   Josedin   50.87
20   Yellow_Knight   42.91
21   AmisVelo   33.25
22   Carlo_Algatrensig   31.27
23   Rote_Laterne   30.12
24   Del1962   27.09
25   Armchair_Cyclist   27.03
25   Comodoro   27.03
25   LosBrolin   27.03
25   Shalgo   27.03
29   Vladimir   19.59
30   BikeRacer33   16.57
30   Tigerion   16.57
32   Mellow_Velo   13.37
33   BluesInTheBottle   10.87
34   Tobydawq   5.87
35   Salvarani   5.87
36   Fauniera   3.37
37   Triley36   1.87
38   Leadbelly   0.87


Green points
Turning all the daily points won and lost into a daily competition, and awarding points to the top ten in that contest, we have:

1   Koronin   273.75
2   Search   212
3   TotalPackage   192
4   RattaKuningas   179.25
5   LightBing   174
6   DJSprtsch   138
7   JustSomeGuy   132
8   Squire   130
9   Yellow_Knight   120
10   Mellow_Velo   114
11   Ripley   106
12   Googolplex   105
13   Shalgo   100.5
14   Triley36   100
15   Otoxiep87   99
16   Del1962   96.5
17   Bminchow   91
18   Josedin   87
19   Carlo_Algatrensig   85
20   BicycleBoy   80.5
21   Laarsland   71.75
22   ArchieBoy   70
23   Tigerion   69
24   AmisVelo   68
25   Salvarani   67.5
26   Fauniera   61
27   BlackBandit222   60
28   Scrool07   52
29   Kazistuta   47.75
30   Tobydawq   45.5
31   BluesInTheBottle   43
32   Comodoro   39
33   LosBrolin   34.5
34   Rote_Laterne   15.5
35   Leadbelly   9.5
36   Armchair_Cyclist   8
37   Vladimir   7
38   BikeRacer33   5.5


The main point getters

31 riders are headed for 100 pts or more as things stand
ALAPHILIPPE Julian   1112   0
PINOT Thibaut   571   0

THOMAS Geraint   546   1
KRUIJSWIJK Steven   451   5
SAGAN Peter   360   2
BERNAL GOMEZ Egan Arley   334   28
BUCHMANN Emanuel   315   1
LANDA MEANA Mikel   276   7
EWAN Caleb   270   16
VIVIANI Elia   230   0
VALVERDE BELMONTE Alejandro   202   0

URAN URAN Rigoberto   192   14
YATES Simon   190   0
FUGLSANG Jakob   183   0

MATTHEWS Michael   181   1
DE GENDT Thomas   170   1
TEUNISSEN Mike   170   0

GROENEWEGEN Dylan   166   1
PORTE Richie   156   22
COLBRELLI Sonny   155   2
VAN AERT Wout   152   1
CICCONE Giulio   148   0

BARGUIL Warren   133   10
QUINTANA ROJAS Nairo Alexander   125   9
MEURISSE Xandro   120   0

KREUZIGER Roman   110   7
TRENTIN Matteo   102   1
IMPEY Daryl   100   0
MARTIN Daniel   100   0
TEUNS Dylan   100   0
WELLENS Tim   100   0




Those of these high scorers who have contributed to the leading teams are:
1   Ripley   1339 (Thomas, Bernal, Barguil, Porte, Kreuziger)
2   Search   1275 (Kruijswijk, Bernal, Landa, Barguil)
   Collective Wisdom  1213   (Bernal, Ewan, Uran, Porte, Barguil)

3   RattaKuningas   1204 (Kruijswijk, Ewan, Porte, Colbrelli)
4   Scrool07   1174 (Kruijswijk, Ewan, Porte, Quintana)
5   Armchair_Cyclist   1148 (Bernal, Ewan, Uran, Porte, Kreuziger)
6   Shalgo   1139 (Bernal, Ewan, Uran, Porte, Kreuziger)
7   LosBrolin   1121 (Bernal, Ewan, Uran, Porte)
8   Laarsland   1102 (Kruijswijk, Bernal, Barguil)
9   Rote_Laterne   1093 (Bernal, Ewan, Uran, Barguil)
10   Mellow_Velo   1089 (Bernal, Landa, Uran, Porte)


Riders can of course get a  decent haul of points, but still not be a great seslection because of their price:  The following have a projected percentage return of at least 20% (I have ignored those scoring less than 35 points):

KREUZIGER Roman   44%   7 teams
ALAPHILIPPE Julian   42   0

KRUIJSWIJK Steven   42   5
THOMAS Geraint   41   1
DE GENDT Thomas   39   1
KÄMNA Lennard   36   9
EWAN Caleb   36   16
BUCHMANN Emanuel   32   1
LANDA MEANA Mikel   32   7
MEURISSE Xandro   31   0
PINOT Thibaut   30   0

ARU Fabio   30   22
PORTE Richie   29   22
BERNAL GOMEZ Egan Arley   29   28
CICCONE Giulio   26   0
TEUNISSEN Mike   25   0
MÜHLBERGER Gregor   25   0

BARGUIL Warren   24   10
URAN URAN Rigoberto   23   14
SAGAN Peter   21   2
TRATNIK Jan   21   0

REICHENBACH Sébastien   21   2
SOLER GIMENEZ Marc   21   6
MARTIN Tony   20   1

Any other numbers you would like to investigate are in the spreadsheet on Dropbox.
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