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Armchair Cyclist

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Re: 2022 Giro CQ Game
« on: May 11, 2022, 00:26 »
Stage 4  Etna

Purple points

It's fairly rare for all of the top ten to have been selected, so nine of them is pretty good, even if they were largely unique picks, apart from the popular winner.

KÄMNA Lennard      70      12
LOPEZ PEREZ Juan Pedro      40      1
TAARAMÄE Rein      25      2
MONIQUET Sylvain      15      0
VANSEVENANT Mauri      10      1
LEEMREIZE Gijs      7      1
CARAPAZ MONTENEGRO Richard Antonio      5      7
BARDET Romain      3      5
BILBAO LOPEZ DE ARMENTIA Pello      2      1
ALMEIDA Joao Pedro Gonçalves      1      1

Today
TRiley not only has Kamna and unique pick JP Lopez, but Bardet too.
1      Triley36      113
2      JumboVismaFan      80
3      BluesInTheBottle      75
3      Search      75
5      Del1962      73
5      Salvarani      73
7      DJSprtsch      70
7      Kazistuta      70
7      Leadbelly      70
7      Rote_Laterne      70
7      SamuCuenca      70
7      Will10      70

Standings
TRiley is above Salvarani on the basis of my rule that the top scoring non-shared contributor to a team is disregarded (thus rewarding teams with a more even spread of scorers).  The two teams in 5th cannot be thus split.
1      DJSprtsch      211      0
2      Triley36      186      22
3      Salvarani      186      3
4      JumboVismaFan      178      9
5      Kazistuta      171      6
5      Rote_Laterne      171      6
7      Will10      155      11
8      Leadbelly      146      14
9      Rufs      138      -7
10      EvansIsTheBest      134      -2

Pink points
Lots of changes in the upper echelons of the GC table, even if some of them are likely to be temporary.
LOPEZ PEREZ Juan Pedro      579      1
KÄMNA Lennard      503      12
TAARAMÄE Rein      350      2
VANSEVENANT Mauri      194      1
LANDA MEANA Mikel      50      27
ALMEIDA Joao Pedro Gonçalves      46      1
PORTE Richie      46      0
SOSA CUERVO Ivan Ramiro      45      6
ARENSMAN Thymen      44      11
HAMILTON Lucas      44      3
LEEMREIZE Gijs      43      1
CICCONE Giulio      43      9
BARDET Romain      42      5
CARTHY Hugh      42      18
BUCHMANN Emanuel      41      5
HIRT Jan      41      0
LOPEZ MORENO Miguel Angel      -36      20
SKJELMOSE JENSEN Mattias      -50      2
FELLINE Fabio      -59      2
GIRMAY HAILU Biniam      -70      4
NIBALI Vincenzo      -72      3
SCHMID Mauro      -93      1
YATES Simon      -121      18
FOSS Tobias Svendsen      -146      8
DUMOULIN Tom      -298      9
VAN DER POEL Mathieu      -508      6
Losses can be deceptive as well.  Although Yates seems to have lost a lot more today than MA Lopez, he is still poised to get plenty of GC points (and quite possibly more as today's protagonists drop away), while obviously the day's less successful Lopez will now be a 500 point of their spend that will yield nothing for the more than half the field that has him. Although for Van der Poel and Dumoulin, the drops probably give a truer indication of their GC expectation than their previous standings.

A fairly huge range of outcomes for the day:
1      Triley36      1062
2      Search      645
3      BluesInTheBottle      624
4      Leadbelly      480
5      Kazistuta      458
6      SamuCuenca      396
7      Laarsland      377
8      JumboVismaFan      363
9      Will10      301
10      Del1962      231
11      Rote_Laterne      177
12      Josedin      172
13      Titan31      158
14      Salvarani      97
15      Northerner      61
16      Vladimir      33
17      Comodoro      18
18      Scrooll07      13
19      Bminchow      6
20      Manafana      -29
21      Nyssinator      -63
22      EvansIsTheBest      -90
23      ZigzagWanderer      -94
24      SafeBet      -110
25      ArchieBoy      -124
26      RedheadDane      -146
27      SlowClimber      -164
28      Bonimenier      -179
29      Otoxiep87      -222
30      Mellow_Velo      -259
31      Armchair_Cyclist      -296
32      AmisVelo      -324
33      DJSprtsch      -328
34      Berflamand      -350
35      BicycleBoy      -465
36      Yellow_Knight      -542
37      Rufs      -586
Collective Wisdom 485

Standings
The table leaving Hungary bears little resemblance to this: Only Salvarani of the MvdP teams, whose loses were mitigated by having Kamna, survives near the top.
1      Triley36      1779      24
2      JumboVismaFan      1239      13
3      Kazistuta      1205      18
4      Rote_Laterne      1186      4
5      Leadbelly      1175      22
6      Salvarani      1134      0
7      Will10      1129      11
8      Search      996      26
9      Del1962      955      15
10      BluesInTheBottle      910      26
11      DJSprtsch      888      -9
12      Nyssinator      834      0
13      SafeBet      815      -3
14      Northerner      788      9
15      EvansIsTheBest      772      1
16      Titan31      757      14
17      SamuCuenca      754      16
18      Comodoro      752      4
19      Manafana      745      1
20      Armchair_Cyclist      742      -15
21      Bonimenier      736      -10
22      ZigzagWanderer      733      -3
23      SlowClimber      728      -10
24      Scrooll07      715      2
25      Rufs      713      -24
26      Berflamand      703      -22
27      AmisVelo      688      -20
28      Otoxiep87      662      -14
29      Bminchow      649      0
30      Laarsland      618      7
31      Mellow_Velo      598      -14
32      ArchieBoy      554      -4
33      Josedin      549      -1
34      Yellow_Knight      547      -31
35      BicycleBoy      526      -26
36      Vladimir      458      -5
37      RedheadDane      157      -2
      Collective_Wisdom      1198   
TRiley's position looks good for as long as Lopez stays in pink.  And even after that, he will have several days worth of pink jersey bonuses and a team that would still be top even if all JPL's projected points were removed.

The interforum challenge is a lot closer than it was after stage 1:  CN 816, VR 791


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  • « Last Edit: May 11, 2022, 00:49 by Armchair Cyclist »

     



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