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on paper it looks like a good stage to send team mates up the road and attack on Kolovrat. But well, yeah, probably unlikely to happen with Fedaia the day after (and only Landa and maybe Nibali would be in the situation to try anyway).

About today, I'm actually not sure the bunch really "miscalculated" it - I more had the feeling, that they just weren't strong enough. At the top of the climb the gap was 2:30 or so, and from then it was full out for >50k. A smaller gap before would probably have let to more attacks from the peloton instead..
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