Poll

Who will win PR ?

Greg van Avermaet
1 (3.6%)
Peter Sagan
2 (7.1%)
Phillipe Gilbert
5 (17.9%)
Nikki Terpstra
1 (3.6%)
Zdenek Stybar
11 (39.3%)
Sep van Marcke
0 (0%)
Jasper Stuyven
0 (0%)
John Degenkolb
1 (3.6%)
Alexander Kristoff
1 (3.6%)
Luke Rowe
0 (0%)
Wout van Aert
1 (3.6%)
Oliver Naeson
1 (3.6%)
Arnead Demare
1 (3.6%)
Other
3 (10.7%)

Total Members Voted: 28

Voting closed: April 08, 2018, 11:54


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Re: 2018 Paris Roubaix
« on: April 08, 2018, 08:31 »
I also heard, and recounted, that in order to win in this race, you need at least 1 top 10 finish earlier. For the winners from the last 15 years, that is almost true. Stuart O'Grady won in 2007, without a previous top 10.
Now there's a lot of hype surrounding Wout van Aert especially, but I hope his management has done a good job of making him understand that a victory is highly unlikely, a top 5 is an exceptional debut (only Boonen managed this), and a top 10 is a very good start (Boonen/Bäckstedt/Stybar). If van Aeart really thinks he is going to win this, I hope he thinks "but maybe not this year".

yeah, I also checked those stats earlier on:
  • last Rookie winner: Jean Forestier in 1955
  • last Rookie on the podium: Tom Boonen in 2002
  • Rookies in the Top 10 during the past 15 editions:
    • Zdenek Stybar 6th in 2013
    • Martijn Maaskant 4th in 2008
    • Bjorn Leukemans 4th in 2007
    • Staf Scheirlinckx 10th in 2006
    • Fabian Cancellara 4th in 2005
    • Arnaud Coyat 10th in 2005
Stybar could have come pretty close to winning it as a rookie hadn't he crashed into that spectator late in the race though.
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