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Armchair Cyclist

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Re: 2021-23 Emerging Riders CQ Game
« on: February 01, 2021, 14:08 »
Rider popularity
A three way tie for the most popular rider (I don't think we have seen that before): Brenner had an early lead, Arensman caught up and the lead changed quite a bit as teams came in: Kooij was on enough late teams that omitted one or both of those to catch up very late in the process.

28 of 36 teams:  ARENSMAN Thymen, BRENNER Marco, KOOIJ Olav
24:  DEKKER David, VAN WILDER Ilan
22:  VANSEVENANT Mauri
21:  ALEOTTI Giovanni
20:  TEJADA CANACUE Harold Alfonso
18:  CAMARGO PINEDA Diego Andres, COVI Alessandro
17:  JORGENSON Matteo
15:  DONOVAN Mark
14:  AYUSO PESQUERA Juan, TIBERI Antonio, VERMAERKE Kevin
13:  ARDILA ORDOÑEZ Andres Camilo, RODRIGUEZ CANO Carlos
12:  RUBIO REYES Einer Augusto
And the 18 riders on a dozen or more teams comprise to Collective Wisdom team
11:  COLLEONI Kevin, SHEFFIELD Magnus, WALLS Matthew
10:  BRUNEL Alexys, HÄNNINEN Jaakko, MILAN Jonathan, VANDENABEELE Henri, VERVLOESEM Xandres
9:  OLDANI Stefano, UMBA LOPEZ Abner Santiago
8:  PICCOLO Andrea, TULETT Ben
7:  GARRISON Ian, JACOBS Johan, ROMO OLIVER Javier, VAN GILS Maxim
6:  BUITRAGO SANCHEZ Santiago, CARR Simon, SCHELLING Ide, ZWIEHOFF Ben
5:  BERWICK Sebastian, FISHER-BLACK Finn, KONYCHEV Alexander
4:  LOPEZ PEREZ Juan Pedro, PLAPP Lucas
3:  CEPEDA ORTIZ Jefferson Alexander, GOOSSENS Kobe, LEEMREIZE Gijs, MORIN Emmanuel, VIGO DEL ARCO Marti, WRIGHT Fred
2:  ALBA BOLIVAR Juan Diego, ARROYAVE CAÑAS Daniel, BRUSSENSKIY Gleb, CHAMPION Thomas, CHARMIG Anthon, CULLAIGH Gabriel, DINA Marton, ELOSEGUI MOMEÑE Iñigo, GONZALEZ RIVERA Abner, HERREGODTS Rune, HINDSGAUL MADSEN Jacob, LOPEZ GRANIZO Harold Martin, LUND ANDRESEN Tobias, PALZER Anton, QUINN Sean, REPA Vojtech, RIES Michel, SLEEN Torjus, STRONG Corbin, VACEK Karel, VACEK Mathias, WAERENSKJOLD Søren, WANDAHL Frederik, WEEMAES Sasha

And there should be 47 asterisked unique picks in the list above this one.

I think the Vaceks are only the second pair of brothers to be in an edition of the game: I doubt they will score as well as the Yates, but I hope they are not total failures as I have one of them.  We also have younger siblings of the Viviani, Paret-Peintre and Garrison families represented.

All of Lucas Plapp's selections came after his Wilunga Hill exploits, though he got no points for that as it was a national series level race.  Although a few other points have been gained before entries closed (I will hope to do the first points posting this evening, household duties permitting), I didn't notice them creating any surge in naming anyone.

Popularity ranking
Totalling up those popularity scores for each team, we get

Team Popularity points unique picks
1      Bminchow      321      0
2      HugoKoblet      310      0
3      AmisVelo      309      0
4      Madrazo      300      0
5      Northerner      296      0
6      Nyssinator      294      0
7      Otoxiep87      291      0
8      Nakazar      290      0
9      Fivezzz      288      0
9      SafeBet      288      0
11      Cordi      287      0
11      Kazistuta      287      1
13      JonEzeitza      284      0
14      Ludwigzgz      278      0
15      Kryvo      271      0
16      RoteLaterne      269      1
17      Rufs      268      1
18      Karaev      265      0
19      YellowKnight      256      0
20      Scrooll07      254      0
21      JPettersen      246      2
22      Greenedge      240      0
23      LosBrolin      238      0
24      Blues_in_the_Bottle      235      1
25      Skidmark      226      1
26      Armchair_Cyclist      218      2
27      Comodoro      217      3
28      LukasCPH      214      4
28      Ray10      214      3
28      Vladimir      214      4
31      Laarsland      199      3
32      MuddyWaters      188      1
33      Josedin      155      3
34      Jakob747      120      5
35      Koronin      117      5
36      Leadbelly      108      7
      CollectiveWisdom      343      0
      CollectiveIgnorance      0      18
      MainGame2021      310      0

Bminchow (who virtually swept the board in CQ games in 2020) complained that he had no idea how to go about picking a team for this one (his first time here), and then sent in a team that tops the popularity table.

Other than the Collective Wisdom team described above, there is as previously a Collective Ignorance team, which will constantly change its make-up through the game as the best 18 riders that we could have had but all overlooked: expect that team to be far and away the best team early on, and finally to finish around mid-table.
You will notice another non-manager picked team: I have pooled together the riders eligible for this who were most frequently chosen in the 2021 season CQ game just to see how they do.  All of them are fairly popular in this game, but 4 of them did not make the Collective Wisdom team.  It would reflect well on those in the main game if this group scores very well in year 1, and well on those in this game if it then drops a bit in the table, at least below Collective Wisdom, thereafter.

I need to go out now: will probably come up with a few more numbers later.
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